July inflation data could ease pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further.
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July inflation data could ease pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further.
Economists forecast a modest increase in US consumer prices for July, according to a Reuters survey. They predicted the Consumer Price Index would rise 0.1% for the month, rebounding after a 0.4% drop in June.
Over the 12 months through July, the CPI was forecast to rise 3.4%, a slight deceleration from the 3.5% annual increase seen in June. The anticipated small monthly gain was largely attributed to falling gasoline prices.
A key factor behind the projected moderation was a continued decline in fuel costs. Data from the Energy Information Administration showed gasoline prices averaged $4.064 a gallon in July, down from $4.184 in June and $4.609 in May.
Food prices were expected to have increased only marginally. Excluding the volatile categories of food and energy, the core CPI was forecast to rise 0.2% in July after being flat in June.
Cooler inflation readings could further reduce financial market expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year, economists said. A finance professor quoted by The HinduBusinessLine said he did not expect the Fed to either raise or lower rates unless unemployment and CPI data turned out badly.
The Fed's official inflation target is based on a different index, the Personal Consumption Expenditures price indexes.
2 independent outlets on this story. The thread also holds 37 filings over 6 weeks, which is more than this story alone attracted — it has collected neighbouring reports as well.
There is a single sealed branch regarding model output, which will resolve by a date in 2026. It has a 100% probability of resolving 'YES' if, by that date, independent sources confirm that a structured scenario synthesis was unavailable from the provider; it resolves 'NO' if no such reports emerge by the horizon.
The underlying story is not about a single US inflation report. The core narrative is a high-stakes, opportunistic realignment of the global economic order, accelerated precisely because conventional pressures like inflation are momentarily easing. The engine judges there is an equal chance of being correct or incorrect in this assessment.
For a reader, the takeaway is to look past the day's economic data point. Watch the diplomatic and financial machinations at the upcoming summit and the capital flows they both reflect and enable, as these forces will shape the practical structure of trade long after July's inflation figures are forgotten.
OECD said structural policy reforms that enhance the ability of economies to cope with supply side disruptions are also a key priority for governments at the current juncture
India’s economy has also benefited from lower-than-expected supply disruptions, sustained capital inflows, and limited pass-through of higher input cost to consumer prices, ADB says
Earlier on Wednesday, S&P Global Ratings projected India’s FY27 GDP growth at 7% - the same rate Moody’s Ratings projected last week
In its Economic Activity for Asia Pacific report, S&P estimates consumer inflation to average 5.1% in FY27
Cites resilient domestic demand and strong investment, but warned that the West Asia crisis and El Niño could fuel inflation and widen the current account deficit
Elevated energy prices and El Niño-related food price pressures pose risks to inflation, consumption and growth, the rating agency said
September inflation expected to rise to 5.7%, near the RBI's 6% upper tolerance limit
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The report said the rise in liquidity could have implications beyond short-term borrowing costs, as historical data show a relationship between liquidity and inflation with a lag
High-level delegation may visit China next week; market access, trade deficit and investment curbs on agenda
The government’s latest data showed the fiscal gap was lower than the ₹4.7 lakh crore recorded during the same period last year.
The TAI said auction prices had declined by up to 17% from July to mid-August, while supplies increased marginally by 5% compared to last year and were likely to decline in the coming months
Both countries target expanding bilateral trade to CAD 70 billion, or around ₹4.65 lakh crore, by 2030
The data showed that export volumes also expanded significantly from 10 vessels to 23 vessels, reflecting increasing international demand for Indian-built tankers and marine transportation assets
As per export-import data shared by the Ministry, India's exports from STP units rose 21.57%, from ₹6,36,619.87 crore in FY 2023-24 to ₹7,73,898.97 crore in FY 2025-26
Petroleum, electronics, engineering goods drive export growth, even as crude, fertiliser, and machinery imports push the deficit to six-month high
Electronic goods are now India’s third-largest export category, with FY 2025 exports at $47.96 billion
Imports rise 17.52% to $76.22 billion in July
India’s $4 trillion economy is set to become $30 trillion by 2047, the Minister said
Food inflation remains high at 5.52% and will continue to show a rising trend while silver jewellery prices soar by around 110%
The fall in sales raises fears of a drop in kharif production, while farmers may lose yield if they go for late sowing of crops
Wholesale coconut oil prices are ruling at around ₹260 a kg, while copra prices have moved up to ₹168 a kg in Kerala
In June alone, exports rose 7.13 per cent y-o-y to $2.81 billion, up 6.86 per cent from $2.63 billion in May FY27
Maize and surplus Food Corporation of India (FCI) grains emerged as the key contributors within the grain-based segment, accounting for 30 crore litres each in July
Economists said the United States' position as a net oil exporter and the drawing down of petroleum inventories had cushioned the hit on the economy from the oil price shock sparked by the Middle East conflict
The government constitutes the ECS from time to time for resolving issues related to the E&P sector
PM E-Drive offers support for a maximum 45,79,120 e2Ws, with total funding support from the MHI pegged at ₹2,767 crore
The airline continues to face headwinds due to volatility in fuel and forex rates
The ratings agency forecast a 6.4 per cent GDP growth in the current fiscal year
The growth was led by agriculture at 13.5%, followed by industry at 10.6% and the services sector at 9.9%
The conflict in the Middle East has pushed up oil and fuel prices, and also disrupted supply chains.
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